Earnest was right, but no on listened

As legend has it, Ernest Duchesne was a student at a French military medical school in the 1890s when he noticed that the hospital’s stable boys who tended the horses did something peculiar: They stored their saddles in a damp, dark room so that mold would grow on their undersurfaces. They did this, they explained, because the mold helped heal the horses’ saddle sores. Duchesne was fascinated and conducted an experiment in which he treated sick guinea pigs with a solution made from mold—a rough form of what we’d now call penicillin. The guinea pigs healed completely. Duchesne wrote up his findings in a thesis, but because he was unknown and young—only 23 at the time—the French Institut Pasteur wouldn’t acknowledge it. His research vanished, and Duchesne died 15 years later of tuberculosis (a disease that would someday be treatable with antibiotics). It would take 31 years for the Scottish scientist Alexander Fleming to rediscover penicillin, independently and with no idea that Duchesne had already done it. In those three decades, untold millions of people died of diseases that could have been cured. Failed networks kill ideas.

Clive Thompson, Smarter Than you Think

What a TikTok Ban Won't Do

While Congress has been up in arms about TikTok, it has failed to pass even the most basic comprehensive privacy legislation to protect our data from being misused by all the tech companies that collect and mine it.

The even deeper problem is that putting TikTok under state control, banning it or selling it to a U.S. company wouldn’t solve the threats that the app is said to pose. If China wants to obtain data about U.S. residents, it can still buy it from one of the many unregulated data brokers that sell granular information about all of us. If China wants to influence the American population with disinformation, it can spread lies across the Big Tech platforms just as easily as other nations can.

it would be much more effective for China to just hack every home’s Wi-Fi router — most of which are manufactured in China and are notoriously insecure — and obtain far more sensitive data than it can get from knowing which videos we swipe on TikTok.

Investigative journalist Julia Angwin writing in the New York Times

Two kinds of Coping Strategies

Psychologists like to group coping strategies into two main types: emotion-focused and problem-focused. Emotion-focused strategies change the way we feel, like distracting ourselves, getting support from friends, or looking at the situation from a different perspective. Problem-focused strategies, on the other hand, involve taking action to solve the problem directly.

No one strategy works all the time, and you’ll often see people get stuck in their favorite way of coping. If you tend toward distraction and denial, you might avoid dealing with a problem that you actually could have solved; if you’re an inveterate problem-solver, you might feel helpless and angry when confronting a problem—or a loved one’s—that has no solution, when all that’s really needed is support and connection. 

Kira Newman writing in Greater Good

The Secret of Success

Survivorship bias pulls you toward bestselling diet gurus, celebrity CEOs, and superstar athletes. You look to the successful for clues about the hidden, about how to better live your life, about how you too can survive similar forces against which you too struggle. Colleges and conferences prefer speakers who shine as examples of making it through adversity, of struggling against the odds and winning.  

The problem here is that you rarely take away from these inspirational figures advice on what not to do, on what you should avoid, and that’s because they don’t know. Information like that is lost along with the people who don’t make it out of bad situations or who don’t make it on the cover of business magazines – people who don’t get invited to speak at graduations and commencements and inaugurations. 

The actors who traveled from Louisiana to Los Angeles only to return to Louisiana after a few years don’t get to sit next to James Lipton and watch clips of their Oscar-winning performances as students eagerly gobble up their crumbs of wisdom. In short, the advice business is a monopoly run by survivors. As the psychologist Daniel Kahneman writes in his book Thinking Fast and Slow, “A stupid decision that works out well becomes a brilliant decision in hindsight.”

Before you emulate the history of a famous company, Kahneman says, you should imagine going back in time when that company was just getting by and ask yourself if the outcome of its decisions were in any way predictable. If not, you are probably seeing patterns in hindsight where there was only chaos in the moment. He sums it up like so, “If you group successes together and look for what makes them similar, the only real answer will be luck.” 

Entrepreneur Jason Cohen, in writing about survivorship bias, points out that since we can’t go back in time and start 20 identical Starbucks across the planet, we can never know if that business model is the source of the chain’s immense popularity or if something completely random and out of the control of the decision makers led to a Starbucks on just about every street corner in North America. That means you should be skeptical of any book promising you the secrets of winning at the game of life through following any particular example.

David McRaney Read more here

Tuesday Tech Tools: 56 Data Visualization Tools

Below are the nine most recommended.

Carto*
Perhaps the best interactive mapmaker but a high learning curve though more of a time investment than a technical-background requirement. No coding needed to look impressive. Used for location intelligence and and journalism alike. Free with paid plans. Video examples here.

Canva*
Graphic design tools. Create social media graphics, headers, slides, flyers, photo collages, posters, infographics, even mind maps for concepts using drag-and-drop. 60k templates. Clip-art library available or upload your own images. Share to social media from the app or download a jpg, PDF, etc. for posting. Free. $12 a month for more options.

Data Wrapper*
Tool for journalists looking to create fast, easily-to-understand visualizations but useful for anyone. Easy to embed. Free version allows creation of 10k charts.

Easely.ly*
Create infographics. Video sample here.

Florish*
A data visualization tool that makes it easy to create both standard charts and a mobile-friendly animated charts. Some customization available. Examples.

Infogram*
Infographic tool especially useful when working with complex data. No coding skills needed. Works with Google Sheets or Dropbox. Create interactive illustrations. 35 types of charts and 200 types of maps. Includes a built-in spreadsheet tool for data editing. Basic version is free but requires the Infogram logo. Upgrades run from $19 to $67 a month.

Meograph*
3D animation of people from 2D video of people. Video explanation.

PiktoChart*
Flat but beautiful interactive graphics. Easy-to-use. Video explanation.

Thinglink*
Create hot-spot graphics. Make images interactive by adding music, a voice over, and text.  Free . Sample.

You’ll find all 56 here.

The theory of multiples

If you look at the world’s biggest breakthrough ideas, they often occur simultaneously to different people.

This is known as the theory of multiples, and it was famously documented in 1922 by sociologists William Ogburn and Dorothy Thomas. When they surveyed the history of major modern inventions and scientific discoveries, they found that many of the big ones had been hit upon by different people, usually within a few years of each other and sometimes within a few weeks. They cataloged 148 examples: Oxygen was discovered in 1774 by Joseph Priestley in England and Carl Wilhelm Scheele in Sweden. In 1610 and 1611, at least four different astronomers—including Galileo—independently discovered sunspots. John Napier and Henry Briggs developed logarithms in Britain, while Joost Bürgi did it independently in Germany. The law of the conservation of energy was laid claim to by four separate people in 1847. Ogburn and Thomas didn’t mention another multiple: Radio was invented around 1900 by two different engineers, working independently—Guglielmo Marconi and Nikola Tesla.

Why would the same ideas have occurred to different people at the same time? Ogburn and Thomas argued that it was because our ideas are, in a crucial way, partly products of our environment. They’re “inevitable.” When they’re ready to emerge, they do. This is because we do not work in a sealed-off, Rodin Thinker fashion.

The things we think about are deeply influenced by the state of the art around us: the conversations taking place among educated folk, the shared information, tools, and technologies at hand. If four astronomers discovered sunspots at the same time, it’s partly because the quality of lenses in telescopes in 1611 had matured to the point where it was finally possible to pick out small details on the sun and partly because the question of the sun’s role in the universe had become newly interesting in the wake of Copernicus’ heliocentric theory. If radio was developed at the same time by two people, that’s because the basic principles that underpin the technology were also becoming known to disparate thinkers.

Even if you assume the occurrence of true genius is pretty low (they estimate that one person in 100 is on the “upper tenth” of the scale for smarts), when you multiply it across the entirety of humanity, that’s still a heck of a lot of geniuses.

When you think of it that way, what’s strange is not that big ideas occurred to different people in different places. What’s strange is that this didn’t happen all the time, constantly

Clive Thompson Smarter Than you Think

The Coming Textpocalypse

From a piece of genre fiction to your doctor’s report, you may not always be able to presume human authorship behind whatever it is you are reading. Writing, but more specifically digital text—as a category of human expression—will become estranged from us. 

Am I worried that ChatGPT could have (written this article) better? No. But I am worried it may not matter. Swept up as training data for the next generation of generative AI, my words here won’t be able to help themselves: They, too, will be fossil fuel for the coming textpocalypse.

Matthew Kirschenbaum writing in The Atlantic

The road to becoming more of a manager than a leader

If you catch yourself referring to people on your team by their job titles as often as by their names, beware—you're on the road to becoming more of a manager than a leader. A real leader thinks of people individually and holistically, and tries hard to understand strengths and weaknesses, goals and interests.  I saw this all too often in the military, for example, where great leaders grew to know their soldiers, and lesser leaders referred to them generically, either by their ranks or occupational specialties. 

Bill Murphy Jr. writing in the Understandably newsletter

A new version of ChatGPT

UPDATE MARCH 14 PM: Access to OpenAI’s GPT-4 will be available to users who "sign up to the waitlist and for subscribers of the premium paid-for ChatGPT Plus in a limited, text-only capacity,” GPT-4 is superior to the previous version of the program, but it “can still generate biased, false, and hateful text; it can also still be hacked to bypass its guardrails.” The MIT Tech Review has more information here.

POSTED MARCH 14 AM: The next ChatGPT update is coming soon. OpenAI released GPT-3.5 in November. A Microsoft executive recently implied the launch of GPT-4 is just days away. It will apparently be a multimodal tool, able to translate users’ text into images, audio and video. AI multimodal tools are not new. Meta released its "Make-A-Video" option last year, which creates a video based on a short prompt. OpenAI’s CEO has warned that many rumors about GPT-4 on the internet are “ridiculous.”

7 Free Webinars about AI, journalism, writing, & more

Monday, March 13 - AI & the Future of Journalism

What: We will examine the AI field and its impact on journalism, for good and for ill. What features of AI hold the most peril for journalists? Which hold the most promise? How does an AI program actually work? Does AI threaten journalism jobs? Can journalists investigate AI tools? If so, how? Are there practical hacks for determining whether content is AI-generated or real?

Who: Garance Burke, global investigative reporter, The Associated Press; Daniel Verten, head of creative at Synthesia; Emilia Diaz Struck, International Consortium of Investigative Journalists; Justin Gluska, founder of Gold Penguin and AI technology blogger.

When: 6:30 pm, Eastern

Where: Zoom

Cost: Free but registration is required

Sponsor: The Deadline Club

More info

 

Tue, March 14 -  Elevating Your Nonprofit's Online Presence: Best Website Practices for 2023

What: The trends and strategies that will help your organization stand out in the digital landscape. Whether you're a new or a well-established nonprofit, this webinar has everything you need to take your website to the next level. From mobile-first design to accessibility compliance, we'll cover all the essential elements that go into creating a seamless and satisfying online experience for your users.

Who: Erin Mastrantonio of Elevation which designing websites for nonprofits.

When: 11 am, Pacific

Where: Zoom

Cost: Free

Sponsor: The Nonprofit Learning Lab

More info

 

Fri, March 17 - Firewalls & Journalism: What to know about Internet shutdown trends

What: Join us for a virtual panel discussion that will delve deep into the worrying spread of Internet kill switches and what it specifically means for a free press.  

Who: Ksenia Ermoshina, a senior researcher at Citizen Lab at the University of Toronto and Center for Internet and Society; Natalia Krapiva, tech-legal counsel for digital rights watchdog group Access Now; Nat Kretchun, senior vice president for programs at the Open Technology Fund; Moderator: Rachel Oswald, National Press Club press freedom team lead and a foreign policy reporter for CQ Roll Call

When: 11:30 am, Eastern

Where: Zoom

Cost: Free

Sponsors: National Press Club & The Journalism Institute

More info

 

Sat, March 18 - Ask an Editor: The Craft & Business of Writing

What: We will answer questions and offer insights into the craft of writing and the struggles we all face in these uncertain times.  

When: 10 am, Pacific

Where: Zoom

Cost: Free

Sponsor: Allegory Editing

More info

 

Tues, March 21 - The state of digital publishing: metrics, insights and revenue strategies

What: A look at the current state of digital publishing and what will it look like in 2023 and beyond with information from Pugpig’s State of the Digital Publishing Market report. Including: Comparison of reader engagement across users and platforms, case studies of innovation in digital publishing, the use of audio and how it drives engagement, and how news publishers intend to retain readers in 2023.

Who: Jonny Kaldor, founder and CEO, Pugpig, a digital publishing platform for hundreds of news, consumer, specialist and B2B media brands.

When: Noon, Eastern

Where: Zoom

Cost: Free

Sponsor: America’s Newspapers to take a deeper look into the report.

More info

Tues, March 21 - AI-Generated Art: Boom or Bust for Human Creativity?

What: A discussion on how generative AI works, how artists are using these tools, and whether AI-generated art will be a boom or bust for human creativity.

Who: Ahmed Elgammal, Professor, Rutgers University; Patrick Grady, Policy Analyst, Center for Data Innovation; Marian Mazzone, Associate Professor, College of Charleston; Irene Solaiman, Director of Policy, Hugging Face; Brigitte Vézina, Director of Policy, Creative Commons 

When: 11 am, Eastern

Where: Zoom

Cost: Free

Sponsor: The Center for Data Innovation

More info

 

Wed, March 22 - ChatGPT, Journalism, and the Future of Creativity

What: What happens when leading journalists who cover science and eminent scientists who reach mass audiences get together to exchange ideas? What do their differing perspectives tell us about how science communication is changing and how we can do it better?

Who: Joanna Stern writes and makes videos at the Wall Street Journal, where she is the senior personal technology columnist. She won an Emmy in 2021. Jean Oh is an associate research professor at Carnegie Mellon University who builds robots with advanced artificial intelligence capabilities.

When: 6:30 pm, Eastern

Where: Zoom

Cost: Free

Sponsor: The Journalism Institute at New York University

More info

 

Thu, March 23 - Undaunted: How Women Changed American Journalism

What: A discussion of the inspiring stories of pioneering women journalists. You’ll hear about the challenges they faced and how they paved the way for the next generation.

Who: Brooke Kroeger, Kim Todd, and Knopf editor Jonathan Segal about their book “Undaunted”

When: 7 pm, Eastern

Where: Zoom

Cost: Free

Sponsor: American Journalism Online

More info